To be notified of news about this storm and others through the season:

For computer model forecasts, visit our charts page.

New Invest 99L to watch in the central Atlantic

Out in the middle of the Atlantic there is a new area of interest to watch. The low pressure system is expected to move slowly westward and toward the increasingly warm waters of the western Atlantic. While there is no immediate threat of development, a gradually strengthening is possible.

two_atl.gif
Map of area of interest

There is currently little to no deep convection associated with this system. It is mainly for this reason that no immediate development is expected. It'll be at least 48 hours before we could possibly see any real action here.

20080801.1845.goes12.x.ir1km.99LINVEST.25kts-1008mb-184N-354W.97pc.jpg
Invest 99L - Infrared satellite

However, the surface circulation looks very well defined. Visible satellite imagery is showing a clear closed circulation. With a closed circulation already established, this could lead to rapid intensification of a developing system approaching warm waters. I expect that if a system does develop, it will be very broad which could limit its ultimate peak intensity.

20080801.1845.goes12.x.vis1km.99LINVEST.25kts-1008mb-184N-354W.100pc.jpg
Invest 99L - Visible satellite


Posted by Bryan Woods | Permalink