To be notified of news about this storm and others through the season:

For computer model forecasts, visit our charts page.

Karen being sheared, Lorenzo forms

In short, our forecast for Karen was right on. Over the past 24 hours Karen approached hurricane strength but right before getting sheared apart. Now her core is exposed and she is steadily weakening down from 70 to 65 mph winds.

20070927.1815.goes12.x.ir1km.12LKAREN.50kts-1005mb-142N-479W.100pc.jpg
Karen - Infrared satellite

Steady weakening is expected as Karen passes out to sea.


Karen - Track Forecast

Karen - Wind Speed Forecast

Karen - Watches and Warnings

Elsewhere in the Atlantic, Tropical Depression Thirteen has strengthened into minimal 40 mph Tropical Storm Lorenzo. Lorenzo is expected to soon move onshore and impacts should be minimal. Next on the list? Melissa! I have high hopes for that one.

20070927.1815.goes12.x.ir1km.13LNONAME.30kts-1008mb-206N-953W.100pc.jpg
Lorenzo - Infrared satellite

Lorenzo is unlikely to strengthen much further and will soon be ashore.


Lorenzo - Track Forecast

Lorenzo - Wind Speed Forecast

Tropical Storm advisories have been posted for the Mexican coast if you have interests in the area.


Lorenzo - Watches and Warnings


Posted by Bryan Woods | Permalink