As an update for those interested, there is a tropical wave would looks to be developing on its way to the Caribbean. Convection has deepened today and it is starting to look better organized, possibly with a closed circulation.

Ivest 94L Infrared Satellite

The models are generally divided on whether or not the system will develop, but currently I am forecasting for the disturbance to strengthen at least into a tropical storm, like eventually a hurricane.

Invest 94L Model Velocities

Currently its model forecast tracks look very similar to those of Dean. However, I would not put too much faith in them until the disturbance develops a well-defined center of circulation.

Invest 94L Model Tracks