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Happy first day of the EPac hurricane season!

Ah, yes, here is NHC's first forecast discussion of the 2006 hurricane season:

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0400 AM PDT MON MAY 15 2006

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

A BROAD AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED SEVERAL
HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. WHILE SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS BEEN GRADUALLY INCREASING OVER THE LAST
SEVERAL DAYS...THERE IS LITTLE ORGANIZATION AT THIS TIME.
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM...IF ANY...SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR AS
IT MOVES SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 5 TO 10 MPH.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
TUESDAY.

TODAY MARKS THE BEGINNING OF THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC HURRICANE
SEASON...WHICH WILL RUN THROUGH THE END OF NOVEMBER.

Below is the area of disturbed weather than NHC is talking about. I am not expecting anything to come of this system.

20060515.1515.goes12.x.ir1km.90EINVEST.25kts-1007mb-87N-993W.100pc.small.jpg
View image

Meanwhile there is an area of stronger convection located over the Gulf of Mexico. However, the stagnant trough over the Midwest should prevent this area from developing.

200605015.1615.wv.Gulf.jpg
Expand water vapor image

The Atlantic hurricane season starts on June 1. Here is the list of names for this year's Eastern Pacific hurricanes:

Aletta
Bud
Carlotta
Daniel
Emilia
Fabio
Gilma
Hector
Ileana
John
Kristy
Lane
Miriam
Norman
Olivia
Paul
Rosa
Sergio
Tara
Vicente
Willa
Xavier
Yolanda
Zeke


Posted by Bryan Woods | Permalink