To be notified of news about this storm and others through the season:

For computer model forecasts, visit our charts page.

Tropical Storm Stan over the Gulf

Tropical Storm Stan is now out over the Gulf and showing some new signs of life. Advisories have been issued in anticipation of a second landfall.

Overnight, the winds from Stan were very quiet. However, the storm is forecast to strengthen quickly to hurricane strength.

The satellite shots are finally showing a healthy burst of convection that should lead to a strengthening on the storm. The circulation looks very well defined, and Stan could strengthen to a hurricane very quickly over the Gulf. While this may seem like a huge leap, the waters are very warm and Stan's circulation is strong enough to support this type of intensification.

I checked out the radars from Mexico, but there is nothing exciting worth noting.

The models seem to have a surprisingly solid handle on the track. This leaves me no reason to doubt NHC's official track as they all seem perfectly reasonable to me. Look for a second landfall along the western Gulf.


Posted by Bryan Woods | Permalink