To be notified of news about this storm and others through the season:

For computer model forecasts, visit our charts page.

Spawn of Stan continues to fester

That deep flare of convection that I was talking about yesterday has continued to persist. The cloud tops remain very cool, and activity has been steady.

Since the convection has persisted for so long, I expect that we will soon start to see rotation in the system. The models are calling for a steady intensification over the next few days.

Stan_100605_00z_intense.png

As it develops, the system should track up the Mexican coast and eventually recurve back at the continent.

Stan_100605_00z_track.png


Posted by Bryan Woods | Permalink