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Ophelia downgraded to Tropical Storm

As I have been mentioning for a while, it seems that Ophelia has worn out her welcome off the Southeast coast. Upwelling caused by her strong winds has cooled the water below her core to levels not capable of supporting a hurricane. Deep convection seems to be lacking and as a result, NHC has downgraded Ophelia to a strong tropical storm with winds of 70 mph.

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However, Ophelia is expected to pass over the Gulf Stream as she moves back towards the Outer Banks of North Carolina. Accordingly, there is room for Ophelia to restrengthen into a hurricane at that time. Currently, only the Navy GFDL and NOGAPS bring the storm towards Georgia while the remainder are tightly clustered around the Outer Banks. As always, I am ignoring the Eta for tropical systems. The watches and warnings along the Carolina coast will likely be extended northward today.

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Posted by Bryan Woods | Permalink